Thursday, May 31, 2007

Geo-GOOG-Panoramio


S1XT8
Originally uploaded by benbarren
I always love a geo-play, so Google pick up another Co' playing in the geo-images space. From the google blog : "Panoramio is a community photos website that enables digital photographers to geo-locate, store and organize their photographs -- and to view those photographs in Google Earth. Other users can search and browse Panoramio photos and suggest edits to the metadata associated with the photos. Panoramio also offers an API that enables web developers to embed Panoramio functionality into their websites."

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

It's a 2.0 Party Till It Isn't. I Just Want the Internet.


scarlett reddit
Originally uploaded by benbarren
One day I will have home internet* (VisionStream, hello?) until then I'll read about Web 2.0 finance Series A rounds keep going up in number and size in US (while being asked locally by friendly journos on possible kangaroo deadpools)

Fenwick West : “First quarter survey results show continuation of the strong positive trend in venture valuations witnessed over the past three years,” he said. “Up rounds exceeded down rounds for the thirteenth quarter in a row and outpaced down rounds 79% to 9%, with 12% flat. This was the largest ratio of up rounds to down rounds since the survey began.”

Being cheaper to start creates more startups, thus more failures of lower amounts of money. OK I'm finishing off (or starting) the product spec for my new baby. Hoping to take the learnings of the last 2 years and 5 months, and put it into engineering practice.

From: Nicole Richie <> To: XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Subject: Masha and Nicole's Memorial Day Party Date: Thu 24 Ma 2007 04:29:29 +0000

".. My fellow Americans its that time of year To celebrate our country by drinking massive amounts of beer Let's stand together as one, live the American dream Take shots, pass out, & wake up with our pants ripped open at the seems Let's glorify this day in your sluttiest tops and your tightest pair of tsubi jeans Even though we have no fucking clue what Memorial Day really means!! There will be a scale at the front door. No girls over 100 pounds allowed in. Start starving yourself now. See you all then!!!..."

* I'm the proud owner/user of a Blackberry 8800, so train rides are now productivity sessions and Sydney trips (like next week Tues-Thurs - ping for a window) I'll actually get my email on the road, and get to meetings on time ! It did only take me 20 hours to destroy, temporarily the 8800, when the internet browser would not open when double-clicked. 2 sets of After hours support took me thru a deletion of Applications/Advanced Options/Service Book settings - which didn't work. Nor did the other phone support which said to turn it off and on.

BB : "I've turned the phone off and on 15 times. I promise you it does not work."
Phone Support 1 : "What you have done prior to what I tell you to do, doesn't matter. You must follow my instructions. Turn off, then on your blackberry and call back through another phone."
BB : "My home phone/internet isn't connected yet, so could you possibly give me the instructions you would give when I call back."
Phone Support 1 : "You follow the instructions I give you."
BB (11pm collects $5 of 20 cent coins and walks to train station to use pay phone while being circled by bmx bandits)
Phone Support 2 : "Delete these settings, and if that doesn't work you will have to call back when the engineers are here."
Postnote : Engineer reset the phone as the "Service Book" settings were "corrupted" (strange as I'd used browser for a day...but hey, it's all working schweet now, at least i dont have to send phone back.... now if they just made it onto the arrigo 3.5NextG not 2.5GPRS, and um if it was the 8300 Curve that would be good too :)

Thursday, May 24, 2007

It's a Post Eddie + Kerry Kinda World.


blue paris
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Seems the line between new and old assets, Private Equity and traditional owners/shareholders, is increasingly blurred. I wonder what Kerry would think of it all ? Gotta like the cash that is building up, just waiting to find a digital home :) Globally google is now buying everything - doubleclick, feedburner and all those rss feeds for $100m, and who knows if they have a go at salesforce.com, maybe some vertical search assets too... not to mention the whole digital agency feeding frenzy, mergers, and so on.

The Australian : "A further selldown of the stake in PBL Media, currently dominated by old-media assets, would free up cash for the new Consolidated Media vehicle to concentrate on what it sees as increasingly important new-media assets. Already, its new-media investments comprise about 70 per cent of the total value of PBL's media plays."

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

BioTech is the New Blogging.


towards chelsea
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Sheesh I have a new home landline number from Telstra, only because I need it for my Internode 8MBS internet, which has been connected, as has the wireless network, but yup u guessed it, the Telstra guy turns up today, has a vquick look, and says someone else from "Vision Stream" needs to connect a cable lead from the "concrete pit" to the building. So there's no internet. It's a messed up my blogging a bigtime (as office daytime is waay busy at moment), hopefully it will be resolved soon. (any1 had a similar experience and know the timelines locally ?)

Seems Scoble's off the blog too (it's a post-twitter virus i'm sure) : "I’ve been in a blog malaise lately. It’s getting harder and harder to write. Why? The stakes are going up. Not for me, I really don’t care." And Mr 2.0 Arringtons got the bug too : "Now, it’s just like the old days again, and Silicon Valley is no longer any fun. In fact, it’s turned downright nasty. It may be time for some of us to leave for a while and watch the craziness from the outside again. In a few years, things will be beautiful again. The big money will be slumbering away, and the marketing departments will be a distant memory. We can focus, once again, on the technology. And the burgers and beer."

Maybe they need a trip downunder, as the cycle here is still around 2004-5. I panelled on a kewl brazen networX event last night (of marketing, comms, online type professionals) at the point and asked how many people were on linkedin (as the topic was social network) I'd assumed in my head around 75% - but the number was pushing 25% - Wow. I didn't follow it up with who had a blog : Maybe Australians are advanced, they dont start blogging to avoid the eventual blogburnout :)

But to coin a phrase of ninemsn CEO Tony Faure from about 1999 when he setup Yahoo Australia, when talking about whether clients were advertising online : "How can they go beyond the banner, if they havent gone to it yet." In this case, how can you go beyond blogging, if you haven't. This is obviously why google's co-founder is investing in biotech :)

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

BB (not) Buildn' Buzz by Blogging.


BlackMiracleHamannF430
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
I could blog about moving to Aspendale on the beach, in the middle of Melbourne and the Mornington Peninsula. Or I could blog about the one simple train trip into new office space loft off Greville Street with Kinger et Netx crew in the old Massonic Centre. And I really should blog about my excitement moving into the next stage of our business, but I'll save it. And don't even start me on now having Sandringham in the VFL, in effect Melbourne's seconds, as my new primary football team even if I continue to go to every Dees game at the G, as well as some Rye games.

I could blog like this, about not blogging, or that I am talking tonite at a Brazen Networx.event at The Point in Albert Park, about building buzz. BB Buildn 'Buzz by Blogging. Bzzz. But I won't, till i do. Especially when in next 24 hours my lovely internode 8mbs/40g account is enabled and repaired imac finds it way home. As u do. If at a lose end tonite for ya'2.0 Melbournites, come check out the point. And Rowsey has a Melbourne chapter blogger meetup with wifi tomorrow. And Cam coming up soon too..

Saturday, May 19, 2007

BB Transmission Will Resume in 44 Hours.


bubble trouble
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
So I've been offline since Thursday 6am which is the longest by um 2 days since, um I dunno 2004 ? Having moved from 3 places into one Aspy home and office Monday, but had no internet (or hot water till today:) Can you believe I watched free to air tv on Friday night, with no internet, then went to bed before midnight (2 nights in a row) Very strange feeling. OK im off to watch Byron Pickett play at the Trevor Barker oval in Sandringham after having jacked 15 mins of wifi from the folks @ Shoreham. (long drive for some basic internet:) Withdrawal is a painful thing, only 44 hours to go.... not to mention getting my Imac back $600 later and that Internode 40gig 8mbs package...... mmmmmmmm..

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

CSFB see TLS @ 32% Premium incl 20% ann'd ROI 4 PE.


thebox officeflop
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Oh geez the 3amigos@telstra are at it again - Private equity time for Telstra; I wonder if Australia will end up paying the same costs as their previous "shareholders" did, or is the timing better here ? I see a Dawn Robertson coming on... (vs a Geoff Dixon@Qantas give it to charity gesture...)

Forbes, no less, : "Analysts at CSFB went so far as to fixing a bid price of 6.50 Australian ($5.42) for Telstra, which stands at a 32% premium to Telstra’s current price and a level that would still allow private-equity investors a satisfactory 20% annual return."

Monday, May 14, 2007

Some B6 Vitamins for Wallstrip/CBS + Skype/Walmart


oldnewold
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
I've (recently) been accused of being gonzoesque + simultaneously a corporate ho' by different parties at least. So accepting that, there are 2 deals I'm liking today; A VC may or may not have directly or indirectly through a small minority stake of ordinary or series A shares* been positively impacted by the rumour CBS will pay $5m for Wallstrip (to which Dunc cant quantify the build vs buy costs and value of realestate and personal brands on the East Coast: lets face it - CBS wouldnt build same authenticity or effectively do the early days hard yards with the same price, which would barely buy some house ads on its own channels) Also - Skype do a schweet deal with Wal-Mart.

VoipWatch : "Skype is announcing a new retail distribution channel partnership with Wal-Mart, in which a number of Skype Certified devices (webcams, handsets and headsets) and the first pre-paid cards for Skype ($20 Skype Credit and a three-month subscription to the Unlimited Calling plan for $8.85) will be sold in more than 1,800 stores in the U.S."

Duncan Riley who btw is kicking goals
and has about 10x his previous/b5's profile (there) at moment (or maybe he is posting so much it's always at the top of my rss reader, but its good to read that aussie vernacular at techcrunch : "It’s been a couple of hours since I wrote the post at TechCrunch and as much as Lindsay Campbell has bigger and better things ahead of her, the $5m figure still doesn’t make sense. CBS isn’t buying for the revenue, and yet Campbell isn’t worth $5m either. What am I missing?"

* Just as coaches and presidents of sporting clubs don't control the players on the field (some say at all, and presidents/owners** even less in a tactical sense, but do from a macros inception pov) when there is a victory, good coaching will always be pointed to. Unless you go for MelbourneFC in the AFL and you are winning with 2 minutes to go, and lose. Hey it's all about trying right ?

** now of course an extreme example of this is selling your company to a portal, buying your sport team, being the owner, and coaching from the rafters....The real question here is what is the value of a successful, though early stage video podcast, and by extension - blog and podcast. My favourite podcast for example : Keith and the Girl, also New Yorkers - hundreds of thousands of daily listeners - I've often wondered what they are worth.. 24 months times their podcast advertising and subscription revenue ? ..or a more Howard Stern 2.0-esque value ? Esp when we are talking finance and defensive Wall Street Journal/Fox Business Channel/MySpace times.. although I say that very tongue in cheek.. so what was the user multiple again :D ?

Extra Link :
Venture Beat have a Top 5 VC's (avatar photos) under 40 feature...

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Search is More than Search Results.


new ride
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Hey it's Mothers Day, which our family celebrated last Saturday, so it feels like it's already happened. Found via glinden, this soundbite I couldn't agree more with on "search" from Data Mining Blog :

"Currently, the main stream search engines are doing a poor job of integrating social media in their results. Conversely, blog search engines take no advantage of the main stream web to analyse the influence and content of blogs. Social media may be thought of as an annotation stream on the main stream web. This model suggests some interesting ways to get leverage out of the differences between these two areas of the web. Main stream web can be used to rank social media content, and social media (blog) content could be used to rank the main stream web."

I'd also add that at moment nearly all search experiences are dumb. I'm not talking AI, ML or personalisation here, yet. (let the heavy lifting powersets of the world take on the big problems eh:) I mean if you go to google, technorati, gnoos:), any search engine really, nothing has changed since Alta-Vista : Keyword search leads to search results leads to clicking on hyperlink to get to destination. Sure the indexes being searched have moved from just pagerank html to live web rss, but the experience is still basically the same.

What's missing is ability to automagically subscribe to your searches, the feeds, relevant tags, related items around your searches in a g-reader type format. Just as you cant search g-reader, you can't subscribe to google.com search results; You have to download a subscribe button onto Firefox, and then when you are on a site with a feed, press subscribe, and even then google is still asking you whether you mean G-Reader or Google Personalised Home.

This lack of "glue" is one of the fundamental weaknesses of Google and about the only thing stopping it from omnipotence - luckily allowing startups to mash around in the crevices. Instead of building up a trail of my clicks, subscriptions, searches, gmails - you have to leave one g-walled garden and go into the next one confirming your id. The recent painful Blogger transition from old to new service with google login was a great example of having to click 6 sign-in confirmations just to edit a post, I kid u not.

Heck, if I want to mash my usage of gmail, blogger, greader, google.com all into one app - with a private dashboard and a public page - that would be getting close. But thankfully google is so big it will take quite awhile for that to happen. google rant over :| As Google's Herr Schmidt says in Eweek :

"In the past, we would buy businesses in lieu of (hiring) engineers," Schmidt said. These days, Google buys a start-up once every few days, or around one a week, he estimated."

Similarly awesome startups like Clipmarks allow members to clip their favourite content to their blog, but why can't search engines facilitate this experience (rather than having to download a firefox plugin); It could be alot more efficient.

Then you have new indexes of dont call it a lifestream, or attention data, let's just call it (UGC) content - that search engines aren't really at all indexing; Ala twitter, lijit (which i meant to add earlier), cluztr (good UI, fresh content esp in the 'timeline' ajax tab, nice review dunc like the homer simpson analogy)

Basically I want better integration between the content I and my "twittering" friends create into search engines, then I want better integration and tools into my search experience. If RSS, feed readers, and subscription hadnt come around for example, I'd probably be searching 50 times more than I currently do.

The converse of that is search needs to catchup with the new ways people find, browse and search, then subscribe, annotate and share. Not Just Search then Search Results. Or make my rss reader awhole lot more search.find.blog friendly :) OK I'm off to get some engineers and breakfast....

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Who Will Fund Local Web 2.0 Aussie Businesses ?


water booble
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
If you're an (Australian) (locally focused) (Web 2.0) (consumer + enterprise) (Entrepreneur) you wouldn't waste your time with VC's. They want big billion dollar global Delaware incorporated Valley relocated hire a good lawyer son, we need to patent that technology, we want to own this space, and get a quick, Jim Clark-esque billion dollar home run. Yeah baby a billion.

If you're an (Australian) (locally focused) (Web 2.0) (consumer + enterprise) (Entrepreneur) you wouldn't waste your time with angels. Dumb money. Non industry expertise. Lots of mother-baby here comes the plane food education sessions.

What you want is the size of the angel investment with the expertise of the VC, and forgeth delaware. The closest approximate of this is the successful Serial Internet Entrepreneur, who made good on their 1.0 venture. But they're really busy too : Either working in private equity, doing an earnout with the company that acquired their business, or happy to focus on extensions to the family home in Mosman.

So it's good to hear that Charles River in the US anyway, with their QuickStart program, are proving that institutional angel funding, similar in a micro sense (fund 6x more companies with 1/6th less money to the Union Square Ventures philosophy) can work.

TechCrunch : "CRV said they’d make 25-50 investments through Quick Start in the first two years. After six months, they are on track to do about 40 investments. Nine have been completed so far..Three of these have completed a subsequent Series A round - Mobeus, Aveksa and Samplify.. The average investment size was $250,000. It’s still too early to tell if these investments will pay off, but CRV is doing very well overall. They say their 2000 fund will return 2-3x to limited partners, an excellent return by any measure, particularly given the 4 year nuclear investment winter from 2000-2004."

Hopefully this may stimulate in Australia, and other non-US countries (there was some y-combinator like player in Europe recently announced yeh ? Y-Something ? eg Y-Europe!) a similar type of investor group. The sweetspot is probably slightly later stage than Charles River : So similar to Union Square, the company has launched a website, is a leader and has traction in an emerging "local" sector. The investment would be bigger than the Y-Com and CharlesR avg amounts (and dont forget TechStars in Colorado), but slightly smaller than Union Square total amount invested. (who do larger amounts in later Series/Stages)

The formula would look like :
- $10m-$20m fund per region. As small as $3.5m for Series A round for first 5 investments.
- Invest in 5-10 leading companies in designated 2.0 "local spaces" in each non-US geographic segment
- Invest on a milestone by milestone basis : "Be first investor" / Pre-VC etc
- First round 25% investment : Average amount invested $500K (up to $1m)
- Allow founders/debt/angel funders of business to get small amount of money out in stage 1 (up to $100K) to keep their mortgage, wife, family happy.
- Provide Blue Chip who get it Advisory Services in accounting and legal with designated partners and associates to be allocated one company which they "own" and work on high equity/low cash incented basis. (these costs kill a business early on, but ignoring them kills a business even quicker)
- Strategic equity partnerships important (help where angels cant) esp on the distribution side (ie media co's provide guaranteed distribution to millions of users in return for minority equity %'s in co's or parentco) This is critical in taking a successful prototype eg 50k monthly users to the 500k-1m users level.

Locally this is where the gap is : For those that dont do the US visa thang (as b5, omni, tnglr) that go/get VC, there are a range of locally operating companies that are self funded, that need expansion funds having proven their initial model. I wonder who will step up... (people keep telling me it is size that matters, and it easier to raise more than less. So rather than have 5 entrepreneurs run around asking for $500K : you could have 1 round for $2.5m.. nb i know its more complicated than that but it could be more efficient)

Who Will Fund Local Web 2.0 Aussie Businesses ? Seriously, I'd love to hear examples (emails and/or comments) of those looking at the above in Australia but also parallel markets like the UK (even Germany, India, too with similar problems), whether they be corporate departments of media/telco/tech companies, VC's, or angels/internet entrepreneurs... redbarren at gmail dot com.

(Update : meanwhile the real angels and vc's are pumping $45M into Tesla the green friendly great looking and performing sports car!!! forget the prius. also u just have to see the agenda that marrignton + jcalacanis are pulling together for techcrunch20 conference - which would also be a great incubator - and see where australia is lacking in terms of setting up the right environment to educate and promote tomorrow's successful business... i mean shite they've got MC Hammer "u cant touch this" who u know has fo real been blogging longer than most in Australia myself included, and has had business interests in the space for years...see in the US u can invent a dance move, have a #1 single, then go web2.0 !!! ok i'll shutup now..)

Give me a song, or rhythm
Makin em sweat
Thats what Im giving em
Now they know
U talk about the Hammer
Youre talking
A show thats hyped
And tight singers
And sweating
So pass them a wipe
Or a tape to learn
What it is going to take
In the 90s
To burn the charts
Legit
Either work hard
Or U might as well quit
U cant touch this
I told U home boy
U cant touch this
Yeah, thats how were livin and U know
U cant touch this
Look in my eyes, man
U cant touch this
Here, let me bust the funky lyrics
U cant touch this

Friday, May 11, 2007

How Many Foto-Widget Apples are Enough ?


api multiplication
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
With the vertical integration of PhotoBucket, I wonder does that make Slide a complementary asset for Fox or Y!Flickr, or a catchup asset for another Gemaya portal playa. Although there is no definition of what an apple is when it comes to widget stats, the raw numbers would make a Gen-Y acquirer go ooh + aah.

VentureBeat : "Slide is one of the best-funded photo-related Web 2.0 companies in Silicon Valley, having raised up to $28M (we haven’t confirmed exact amount) at a reported value of more than $60 million.. boasting 150 million daily slide show views and more than 200,000 new slide show “widgets” created daily."

BRW Fast Starters Issue : "Knowing what you now know, would you start a business again ?"


aspendale view
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
In a week, I'll be in a new home. First (outright) for (i'd guess) 6 years. (post dotcrash gone fishing hehe) It's a rented one (bank manager doesnt let you swap stock in your startup for beach property); Located in Aspendale, nice and close to the beach; In the middle of Melbourne and the Mornington Peninsula.

The main driver being that running a "virtual" business, while cute, is not optimal. So I've decided I need to be close enough to Melbourne (and Tullamarine airport) 5 days a week. (i commuted hours each day for years so need sub-1hour each way drive/train) Even though our business has always had a central converted house/office in Elsternwick, this is also in the process of being replaced for something "more busy" so there are more people to work round each day, as well as having somewhere with gadgets and lattes to take clients.

While it doesn't matter how hard you work, if you work on the wrong opportunity, at the wrong time, with the wrong people and execute it wrong, success in the start-up game, is different to success in a "job" or consultancy. Getting a 'bonus' for exceeding (often intangible or non readily control'able) targets or a team building holiday may assist achieve better results in a corporate setting : In a startup, the results are everything. And the holidays dont bloody exist, but you can blog on a Friday afternoon if you have the window.

So reading the (orange cover) "Fast Starters" issue of BRW (i tend to buy their special issues : Rich 200, Young Rich 40, etc - which leads them to bring out more and more special issues i suspect) it was amazing the parallels I found in disparate industries. Every entrepreneur (well some anyway) probably can feel (in the early days) as if they are the only one experiencing the range of emotions that come up. So if I can find $7.95, and you are interested in the ingredients for being a Fast Starter, I'd recommend getting yourself an issue for the 18% of you that are Australian readers.

(go and visit your local newsagency now, dont worry about googling for the article, buy the mag now:)

OK, so for those of you that didn't purchase, there are some good takeouts :
- 89% of businesses lease offices ONLY 2% are located AT HOME. (yup... very scary findings for the home business, thats a hard stat to beat) Thats why im restructuring my geo-logistics.

- 23 of the 100 companies listed as Fast Starters are in the IT industry which was the largest followed by finance then property. (need to have more revenue than $500k - which I think is a nice cut-off point to use this as a mid-term objective.. because let's face it : the fundamental weakness of ANY business, and esp web 2.0 ones, is lack of revenue and ultimately profits. Esp revenue. Heck if you have 40m photobucket like users, lovely, but they also have $10M+ revenue growing at a huge amount... So any business should be aiming to make more than $500K in annualised revenue. (id say alot of web2Co's dont btw)

- NSW 49 companies vs VIC 27, then QLD (10), WA (7), ACT (5), SA (2) - Come on non Sydney Harbor Co's !!! Let's not let the Bronti dwellers own the innovation :) Melbourne MODM event coming up....

- Following Fred Wilson's summary that his typical founder of companies he invests in is GenX (with some 40's) the BRW quant research seems exactly the same. I have no excuses !!!; "They come from the ranks of generation X, and most are aged in their 30s and 40s, with previous experience in the corporate world." (tick, tick, scary)

- 42% have undergrad, 15% have masters (tick, tick)

- 36% work 50-60 hours a week, 35% more than 60 (tick, and um tick if u include watching video on the second mac screen and blogging on the first)

- Most common salary ($50K-$100K) no tick there... yet.. um almost there i hope.. the first 2 years all you see is negative cashflow, let alone a positive income of $50k-$100k..

- 36% have a (paper) personal net worth of $1m-$2m; 27% of $2m-$5m (this sounds consistent with typical paper investor valuations and the stakes founders have in 2.0 businesses.. having that as an exitable, in the bank value hehe that is different eh)

- Here are the name of the IT companies so you can Google them (which I tend to do when BRW have Top 500 Private Companies, Fastest Growing companies etc... so u can see what successful businesses do and make money.. dont see any widget companies here ppls;) :

#1 Bravura Solution, #10 Matrix CNI, #11 MVSS, #27 Downling Consulting, #36 HCS, #41 Revolution IT, #46 Maxaam Computer Systems, #54 Best International, #60 Distribute.IT, #61 defining the moment, #62 DocsCorp, #63 Genos, #64 CQR Consulting, #67 FuseFarm Interactive, #69 The Farm, #80 Viteknologies, #82 Gravity, #87 Riteq, #94 Biometric Innovations, #97 Pure Hacking, and finally #99 Aspirence Information Technology !!!!

So it will be interesting to see if any Australian Web 2.0 companies can crack the list next year as the "companies must have completed 2 fiscal years of revenue". And let's face it, the biggest insurance policy one can have against a potential bubble deflation as Don Dodge points the potential to, is to have a business which along with strong technology, unique market position, great management team, lots of growing end users and paying customers, is revenue, revenue growth, profit and profit growth.

Sustainable financials means being able to weather any storm about whether widgets are a revolution or social networks being the new black. You want to know all the work and years you put into the business have a reason ie an asset value, or else make sure the salary you are earning is near to what you would get commercially.

There are some kewl little graphs throughout the issue :
Q : "If the right amount of money were offered today, would you sell the business ?"
A : 67% Yes. 33% No. (although interestingly 62% want to "retain ownership of business." - I won't get into rights holders of convertible securities and different clauses that can null and void this "intention" - or maybe this is why 56% are NOT looking for capital to expand.)

- 51% have 5-20 staff (30% : 21-50)
- 82% havent had trouble with a business partner... well I guess they would say that.. all is fair in..
- 45% sell goods in overseas markets / 55% dont...
- Amazingly 58% of the businesses required less than $100,000 of start-up capital. Another good lesson.

- 24% say cashflow was their "main stumbling block". (esp payroll is mentioned....)

- 28% finding staff was hardest problem (even more than cashflow, which is a chicken and egg problem.. best people cost most and often you cant afford them without correct equity/options structure in place, which itself is hard to properly at start because it costs real money to put in place and VC/angel investors may totally redo it anyway and prefer a "clean structure".) Not surprising then that the first post on Fairfax's startup blog which Mr Farmer set up (for us to vent) has Marty from Tangler talking about the hiring process and a non-suitable client who seemed good.

- 11% said searching for funding was hardest part (even i understimated amount of time and length.... it goes on and takes forever, just when u dont have time because u want/should be focused on team/tech/sales :)

Outtake : My favourite definition of entrepreneurship is the one when an entrepreneur is asked after "completing" his or her business (typically a 5-8 year process for the startup/early stage) "Knowing what you now know, would you start a business again ?" : To which the entrepreneur laughs and says "No F'n Way !" Although their body language and continual talking about business opportunities would suggest otherwise ;) OK, i'm off for a Point Leo beach run, until I switch for the newer Aspy-Edith-Bonbeach Nirvana is just around the corner run next week....

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

Fark.com : 1.5M Daily Page Views not Breaking Even.


07 SLR
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Very interesting piece from NPR on Fark.com (a website which the front/end/content is run by 1 X founder/entrepreneur - Curtis), via makeyougohmm.com :

"It might sound as though Curtis is making a bundle, but he insists that his expenses are high. He pays several workers a total of up to $200,000 a year to handle his servers, do Web design and police the site. He says he spends at least another $150,000 on lawyers for advice on contracts and libel. And last year, Curtis says, Fark actually lost money.. The modest cost of living in the bluegrass state allows Curtis to pay himself a yearly salary of $60,000. "I keep it low," he says. "There is more money in the bank, but I'm just waiting to get sued. It's just a matter of time before somebody comes after us, and I don't want to be sitting there at zero."

500 X 500's Pump Up The EuroCarBlog Volume.

If there were any questions about the benefit of advertorial content integration boxes ala the blogads model, check this micro-example from Eurocarblog, which combines a good 500 X 500 ad unit, with an autofocused market, which we know pumps the insertion order juices of the car selling population.

Just a pity there is no exchange to buy and sell such ad units from local advertisers, for local publishers. Why should the Euros have all the fun ? (insert my favourite business opportunity/required industry ad infrastructure required downunder, that being a localised social media self service ad exchange)

Eurocarblog : "We just got a call from Fiat: they were very happy about the 500x500 online booking initiative. All 500 units of the fiat "500 wants you edition" were sold out in 5 hours and 45 minutes. One every 40 seconds!"

Another Metric to Insert in Your 2.0 B2C Plan : $17 Per Unique User


CarreraGTCayman1
Originally uploaded by jgriffi1.
So the wily ol' fox is filling a hole in the rich Photobucket. Seeking Alpha rollout the metrics u've prob seen : "So, we now have a company who raised a mere $10.5mn, and generated $9.3mn in 2006 revenue...expected to fetch $300mn (which is a little less than half of what NewsCorp paid for MySpace in the first place). For a firm in a strong position as a middleman in the Internet value chain (with 41mn registered users and 17mn unique monthly visitors), this seems like an understandable price at roughly $17-18/user ($300mn / 17mn uniques). We say this because if each uniques can be advertised to for at least a few bucks a month, then this price per user is paid off in less than a year."

Sunday, May 06, 2007

"Get off my bed. I don't want to talk to you. You give me the shits."


lohans finger
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Remember series 2 big brother downunder, when there was so many hookups + tongue4tasksluv within the first 72 hours - Damian/Mirabai... Marty/Jess - all old school - well that doesn't happen anymore, almost, as people play the game in different ways now. (pretending they're not a couple, friday night gladiator/sushi games, giving your ex a good night X etc - but generally not hooking up and acting frigidlike) While I've only caught about 200 mins of the new series, the TJ/Bodie "relationship" is most interesting and much ado Steph in the Diary Room Blog is nailing it soo hard*, Gretel should be sending her in as an intruder.

Steph on TJ : "What? Is she for real??? I don't think he can make it any more clearer! He wants the cuddles and kisses and under the doona action at night, but during the day he doesn't want to follow her aound like a love sick puppy. He wants to hang with the boys, have fun, and a few laughs. TJ on the other hand wants some kind of warped "commitment" she wants to be showered in attention 24/7, she wants romance, she wants deep and meaningfuls and hearts and flowers!"

* the quality difference b/w msm coverage of big brother and those live blogging the excl' live feed, is just chalk and cheese.

Saturday, May 05, 2007

"We're not hiring you, but we can recommend our recently acquired meta-job search engine."


Rinspeed Rolls Royce
Originally uploaded by holger.tr.
Reading TechCrunch this AM, before heading off to an early mother's day lunch at Flinders Pub - which is really just an excuse for my family to eat the food where my brother's wedding reception is later in the year aaagh family / wedding / function-stuff they love it - as it seems Google might want to make out with SimplyHired. So it seems goog might buy the vertical search world after all ! Will there be a Fox bidding war ? (as they have a decent size stake) More on this "merger fever" @ Venture Beat.

Given Google is the, if not one, of the top companies (u know those research surveys say) that people want to work for, combined with scraping the whole jobosphere, with smart search tools, that combined with a linkedin buy (at a point in the longer term future), sheez what a combination.

Alarm Clock
: "Global Equities Research analyst Trip Chowdry says that Google is stepping up its efforts to buy VC-backed SimplyHired... Simply Hired almost seems like it was built to be acquired by Google. Its angels are GOOG angels, its based in Mountain View, it targets the long tail and landed a MySpace deal, and Google doesn't have a job search tool."

Friday, May 04, 2007

Will Ben Go Again ?


midnight powder
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Foxsports are speaking to the psych-analysts and using accurate words like "fragile" and "vulnerable" to describe the Cousins Saga. And to think how big the story (will/may/?) become if just one more time etc; "It would just need someone to slag him on the field and he might take that as a reason to go back to what he had done before, and you could bet your bottom dollar the opposition would do that, couldn't you?"

Another Amigo Would Like You to "Just click here to drive more traffic to our Yellow listings."


topshopper
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Um it's Friday and after early morning packing, garbage disposal and delivering car at mechanics, I've been getting through email, closing off loose ends, listening to Triple J Monday Ep of Hip Hop Show with rokn grinder maya jupiter (check out the dj bones set @ 2hrs:08min - winstream - 90s hiphopmash-rox)

Not much sleep this week but in a good way today (from using the ol'noggin) so not sure exactly what Terry McCrann means by the following about the distribution deal b/w 2 of my exemployers - sensis + ninemsn, but I'm glad the AFR's, Kohlers + McCranns and other bastions of Australian media and business journalism now follow the old school online portal distribution deals.

"Sensis's Yellow doesn't just sit on the ninemsn home-page, it sits next to all sorts of other portals read opportunities. What is particularly potent is joining search and news/entertainment." <Yes Potent ! "Search ?" Tick. "News ?" Tick. "Entertainment ?" Tick. "Now lets take it local and ask sensis for a few, heck alot of millions a year instead of spending money on it..."> Terry's line at the start that the deal is "extraordinarily significant and merely mechanist" - I'm much more in agreeance with altho i'd drop the 'extraordinarily' part)

While this is in effect Sensis (Yellow) distribution into ninemsn land - it's not really that extraordinary because if Akhurst wants to give Faure some dough for Yellow eyeballs that makes sense. One quote I pondered if there was more going on (ie an actual two-way deal) was Joshua "playing with a Nokia N95" Gliddon's coverage in Fin which quotes ninemsn CEO Faure "The reach of the 2 combined sites will be 9 million plus."

Whether by 2 sites (ie Yellowpages.com.au + MyLocal.com.au) this reference is just a meaningless distraction as the distribution deal is to do with MyLocal.com.au - it would (have) been interesting that the display ads (ninemsn's earning strength) which are going around MyLocal (which will have listings powered by Yellow) were to be sold (or co-sold with sensis) by ninemsn (even if non-exclusively) I assume this isn't what Tony meant by the 2 sites reach 9 million, but that would be an interesting hyperlocal ad buy. (or more accurately a national premium filler with some behaviourial targeting bundled into ninemsn sponsorship/display buys)

So how long will it take for Australian media execs to use twitter ? The mail is if u r over 30 / u dont get it / wont use it / duh :)

My sense though with another (Sol) Amigo on the boat and avoiding boarder patrol, to run Yellow/White Pages (u can find the press release) that an even bigger Telstra (online media) strategy than previously will be to buy distribution deals like this one. Which will add some nice 7 figures to the bottom line of ninemsn, but have a red ledger account over on the Sensis books. (see i did pass second year accounting at uni as it was mandatory!)

OK enough 1.0 deals. Remember the whole many million dollars multi-year AOL/Yahoo portal deals of yore ? Well they're happening again downunder :) Maybe I should have written that at the start. And the enemy isn't so much Google, as it is decreasing advertiser spend effectiveness from print (and even TV) products. It's about shifting user churn before an advertiser notices. "Just click here to drive more traffic to your Yellow listing. etc"

Another more 2.0 take on the same issue
who ironically power some of sensis.com.au's search engine (and may be an indication of the evolution of Aussie Classifieds meets Local Search Optimisation etc re : future distribution deals by major newspaper players downunder as they deal with the same "market drivers"(ie google + print churn necessitating increased vertical distribution of major mastheads/verticals/classifieds) : "Fast Search and Transfer on Monday released FASTMedia, software that lets media companies like newspaper publishers deliver results tailored to their local markets without striking revenue-sharing deals with search companies.. "There are so many companies that don't want to give any more money to Google and Yahoo because Google and Yahoo are sucking the life blood out of them," said Susan Aldrich, an analyst with the Patricia Seybold Group in Boston."

(But wait, there's more) For rumoured US Portal deals (in the VOIP space, a product Aussie portals do not even offer yet - Yahoo7 were talking this up start of year..) via Internet Outsider : "This Business Week article speculates that Skype may partner with Yahoo to develop a mobile network using the 700Mhz spectrum, it says "industry insiders see Skype rolling out its own mobile network, possibly in cahoots with Yahoo." I imagine this type of network would be a hybrid 3G/Wifi/VOIP network. Skype could combine its enormous VOIP user base and with Yahoo Messenger's large instant messenger user base to up-sell wireless phone and broadband service. They could effectively bypass the broadband providers to connect directly to some of their end users..The partnerships continue to get even more confusing. Google and Earthlink have joined forced to launch municipal wifi networks. Meanwhile, Microsoft and Yahoo announced an instant messenger interoperability partnership in October 2005 and then Google and AOL announced a similar partnership in December 2005."

Bonus Steak Knive Link if you click this link in the next hour via Daily Wireless who have aggregated all that is known about Google phone rumours/strategy.

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Price/Rev of 7 to 12 Times Multiples 4 M+A 1.0-2.0 Co's.


tapered ironmaiden
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
I'm at the exchanging signatures and agreements stage on the deals I've been working on and almost there so I can move onto next milestone. Ross Dawson (a week ago, oops) at the aptly titled economics of social media conference had this 'maybe it is all worth it or shite this really is a bubble' nugget, on companies that have reached the final milestone :

"Valuations of social media companies continue to pick up. One (unidentified) deal that closed today was $15 million in cash for a company with $2 million in revenue, showing that revenue multiples is once again the yardstick for sales. Esther Dyson made the comment that a few years ago everyone was talking IPOs. Now the talk is about which companies will buy the emerging stars in trade sales. As such, much of the conference was about the dance between major media and start-ups. This is going to move a lot further over the next six months and beyond."

Fred Wilson is seeing 10 times revenue (for more 1.0 ad network like assets, plug that into your dcf.xls) : "I've read that Doubleclick sold for 10x their revenue of $300mm. And that Right Media sold for 12x their annual revenue of $70mm.. I believe that ultimately price needs to be factored as a function of EBITDA - earnings power. It could be the present value of future cash flows, it could be a mutiple of current EBITDA, it could even be a multiple of the cash flow that a buyer believes it can get by merging the asset into its business. So when I see online advertising assets trading at north of 10x revenues, it makes me think that it's the latter factor at work."

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

It's a Fantastic Time to be an an Entrepreneur in your 30's said The Venture Therapist in his 40's.


post rehab
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Britney may be a bit young to be an entrepreneur, but it seems I'm in my prime according to Fred Wilson's back of envelope just catching a plane but let me crunch u the median stats* : "But the facts are pretty eye opening. Nine of our eleven entrepreneurs are in their 30s. One is in his 20s, and one is in his 50s."

Which if i can talk from first hand experience, after 12-13 year of online "work experience" you want to do something for yourself / have a real test / look mom no hands... and u arent necessarily young, dumb and full of distractions. "You got the hunger and the itch boy.") As Mr Calacanis says, it's about this age it becomes important to hit a home run for real, or for an Australian analogy, win the World Cup or AFL premiership. (and of course there will be the twentysomething superstars who us haggard 30something web 1.0 "veterans" like we are returning WW2 soliders, dont want to be wipper snappered by)

Mostly it's about proving you can to yourself. And fixed salary as the primary means of remuneration also isn't reallly geared at an alpha performer. (alpha in their own state of mind.. many entrepreneurs may well be more suited in a large company with all the safety latches that exist.. The grass is always greener no matter what u do as i say.. said the entrepreneur to the private equity said to the hedge fund dude.

* I can already see the research study comparing size of amount invested by 2.0 VC with age of entrepreneur eg Y-Combinator : 20's. Union Square : 30's. Kleiner : 40's :)

$212m-$280M The Right Return.


wheres john
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Nice $$$ if you can get it, potential RedPoint VC return on the Yahoo acquisition of RightMedia. VC Ratings : "Guessing at returns is difficult. Right Media's $850 million total valuation now means it has grown in value by 425% in six months. If Redpoint's first round investment of $7.5 million was struck at a $22.5 million pre-money valuation, then Redpoint could be looking at proceeds now of between $212 million and $280 million. Even at the low end, that's three times what the firm received from its $5 million investment in MySpace."

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

iGoogle Australia blog that Wolf Creek Painted by Brett Whiteley at Bondi may be Nice Personalised Wallpaper for Weather Updates.


MonkDB01.JPG
Originally uploaded by dreadfuldan.
Who said history is dead after postmodernism ? As the B+/A- American celeb list incl most famous crossover celeb blogger Perez invade Australia for the VMAs (sorry no Snoop tho - boudist is capturing the pics incl our monk export who was vfunny on ChV years ago), I note via Phil et Meg, that Google Downunder are now blogging and they want you to "Express Yourself !!!" (in a kinda MyYahoo 2001-lite pre MySpace waay;)

So once Chopper Read gets over his latest court case (or Ben Cousins although Ch9 is supposedly wanting to pay him to confess his West Australian sins and may get their first) ChopChop (a noted artist who sells $50k canvas' before getting out of bed) may be the perfect local spokesperson for the GOOG AU Monster on their ooh they have a blog now.

More interesting is the local uptake of their Google Apps domain which Ive been meaning to get my gmail thru so maybe my gmail doesnt get classified as spam by so many organisations/isps as there's some funky ip witholding/spamcop stuff going on anyway - there is a baitnswitch if ever there was.

This sentence on the Google Australia Blog is classic geek tragic hipesque : "We want to make an Aussie-specific theme available to iGoogle users here and everywhere. So we want your suggestions. A game of beach cricket? A famous Aussie painting? An outback scene? If you have a unique idea for an Aussie iGoogle theme, email us. (Brief thoughts are ideal; no artwork necessary!). We'll post the best ideas here and work to make an Aussie theme available."

(it is good to see large companies are seeing blogs are actually easier than using extensive pr/corporate comms to get their 2.0 press releases out, now that wasnt so hard was it...btw i like/use google as much.more than the next person i just dont understand what type of "outback scene" they are talking about ? i know darwin with cheap property, lowest avg median age, and booming backpacker market is the sao paulo of australia, but... "So we want your suggestions. A game of beach cricket? A famous Aussie painting? An outback scene? Luv it...")

Now lets spin the disc back to 1988 and Dr Dre, and the real "Express Yourself" !
Yo man... There's a lot of brothers out there flakin' and perpetratin
But scared to kick reality.
Man you've been doing all this dope producing.
You had a chance to show 'em what time it is...
So what you want me to do?
Express Yourself...
I'm expressin' with my full capabilities
And now I'm livin' in correctional facilities
Cause some don't agree with how I do this.
I get straight, meditate like a Buddhist
I'm droppin' flava, my behaviour is heriditery,
But my technique is very necessary.
Blame it on Ice Cube... Because he says it gets funky
When you got a subject and a predacit.
Add it on a dope beat
And that'll make you think.
Some suckaz just tickle me pink
To my stomache. 'Cause they don't flow like this one.
You know what? I won't hesitate to dis one
Or two before I'm through.
So don't try to sing this!
Some drop science
While I'm droppin' English.
Even if Yella
Makes it a-capella
I still express, yo, I don't smoke weed or a sess.
Cause its known to give a brother brain damage.
And brain damage on the mic don't manage
Nuthin'
But makin' a sucker and you equal.
Don't be another sequel...
Express Yourself...
Express Yourself...
Come on and do it...

"Search marketing draws the ambitious entrepreneur, such as Calacanis, much as banks do robbers: that's where the money is."


brits roadster
Originally uploaded by benbarren.
Is Web 1.0 the new Web 3.0 ? Heck who needs next generation enterprise semantic webmashups anyway :D Valleywag riff on regular target mr santa monica calacanis' next venture, a guess of wikipedia meets google, already being denied via denton in comments. I did like this line as I prepare for my .ppt and contracts tomorrow (no time to blog, always time to clip a funny soundbite) : "Search marketing draws the ambitious entrepreneur, such as Calacanis, much as banks do robbers: that's where the money is."